← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Oct 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: D. Schlager
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 36% | 2.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfL Osnabruck +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Kaiserslautern +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · VfL Osnabruck |
| 17' | ⚽ | Erik Engelhardt · VfL Osnabruck |
| 19' | 🟨 | Robert Tesche · VfL Osnabruck |
| 36' | 🟨 | Kenny Prince Redondo · Kaiserslautern |
| 37' | ⚽ (pen) | Michaël Cuisance · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ | Julian Niehues · Kaiserslautern |
| 62' | 🟨 | Tymoteusz Puchacz · Kaiserslautern |
| 78' | 🟨 | Nikola Soldo · Kaiserslautern |
| 84' | 🟨 | Florian Kleinhansl · VfL Osnabruck |
| 84' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 32 |
| 4 | On target | 13 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfL Osnabruck | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | Bremer Brücke |
| Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 426.00 | 518.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1338.88 | 1497.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.38 | 46.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| league points | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 38.20 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.36 |
| state index | -0.97 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | -2.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |