← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: D. Siebert
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 44% | 2.18 |
| Braunschweig win | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Braunschweig −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 59' | 🟨 | Alexander Rossipal · Hansa Rostock |
| 82' | 🟨 | John-Patrick Strauss · Hansa Rostock |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jasper van der Werff · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonas David · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robert Ivanov · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 20 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 213.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.26 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1429.30 | 1379.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.02 | 2.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 27.92 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |