← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Sep 24, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Hannover win | 26% | 3.78 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 40' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 43' | 🟨 | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Yannik Engelhardt · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 49' | 🟨 | Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 59' | ⚽ (pen) | Christos Tzolis · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Düsseldorf Arena |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 600.00 | 450.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1624.59 | 1486.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.94 | 35.64 |
| eye test v1 | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.67 |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.29 | 1.71 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 26.92 |
| state index | 1.19 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.48 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |