← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 37% | 2.65 |
| Braunschweig win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig +0 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Anthony Ujah · Braunschweig |
| 32' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 38' | ⚽ | Kanji Okunuki · Nurnberg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Benjamin Goller · Nurnberg |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tim Handwerker · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 64' | ⚽ | Anthony Ujah · Braunschweig |
| 83' | 🟨 | Þórir Jóhann Helgason · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 84.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1379.56 | 1435.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.14 | 4.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.59 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 42.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 25.48 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.84 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |