← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Ittrich
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Karlsruhe win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.61 |
| Under | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · Greuther Furth |
| 7' | ⚽ | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| 12' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 18' | 🟨 | Jérôme Gondorf · Karlsruhe |
| 19' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 25' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 36' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 42' | 🟨 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lars Stindl · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 55' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 55' | 🟥 | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | ⚽ | Damian Michalski · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | 🟨 | Sebastian Jung · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Karlsruhe |
| coach days | 449.00 | 1330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1464.70 | 1493.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.92 | -10.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 1.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.69 |
| league points | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.08 | 29.35 |
| state index | -0.74 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.52 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |