← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Sep 22, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Brych
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 44% | 2.17 |
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 32% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.45 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Jean Hugonet · Magdeburg |
| 34' | ⚽ | Adriano Grimaldi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Herbert Bockhorn · Magdeburg |
| 56' | 🟨 | Tobias Müller · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 68' | 🟨 | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 85' | ⚽ | Luc Castaignos · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristiano Piccini · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 2.40 |
| coach days | 963.00 | 813.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1495.21 | 1516.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.31 | -8.30 |
| eye test v1 | 1.23 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| league points | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 5.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.24 | 25.32 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |