← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Sep 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: R. Braun
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 24% | 4.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 28' | 🟨 | Bashkim Ajdini · VfL Osnabruck |
| 37' | 🟥 | Niklas Wiemann · VfL Osnabruck |
| 45' | ⚽ | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 58' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 63' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 77' | ⚽ | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 80' | ⚽ | Andreas Voglsammer · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 6 |
| 15 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 443.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.14 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1476.22 | 1333.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.63 | -26.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 26.25 |
| state index | 0.10 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | -1.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |