← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Sep 17, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Fritz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 55% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
| Braunschweig win | 22% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 38' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 55' | 🟨 | Andreas Bouchalakis · Hertha |
| 71' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.14 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 169.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1542.80 | 1387.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.62 | -5.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.00 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 15.02 | 15.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | — |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.14 | 27.95 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | -1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |