← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 47% | 2.07 |
| Magdeburg win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Magdeburg −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.47 |
| Under | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 27' | ⚽ | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 40' | ⚽ | Sebastian Polter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sebastian Polter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Cedric Brunner · FC Schalke 04 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Yusuf Kabadayi · FC Schalke 04 |
| 59' | 🟨 | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 62' | ⚽ | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 67' | ⚽ | Connor Krempicki · Magdeburg |
| 68' | 🟨 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 69' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 15.00 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 69' | ⚽ | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 77' | 🟥 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 79' | ⚽ (pen) | Sebastian Polter · FC Schalke 04 |
| 85' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 957.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 1.84 |
| elo | 1507.47 | 1468.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.38 | 45.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.04 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 14.31 | 14.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.56 | 1.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |