← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Sep 15, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 49% | 2.08 |
| SV Wehen win | 26% | 3.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −0.75 | 59% | 1.64 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.75 | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Kianz Froese · SV Wehen |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jannis Heuer · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 51' | ⚽ | Sebastian Klaas · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 60' | ⚽ | Niclas Tibor Nadj · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · SV Wehen |
| 80' | 🟨 | Adriano Grimaldi · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 90' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| coach days | 806.00 | 683.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1510.69 | 1432.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.63 | 19.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.90 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| league points | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 13.23 | 13.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |