← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Sep 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 48% | 2.03 |
| Hannover win | 26% | 3.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Nicolò Tresoldi · Hannover |
| 22' | ⚽ | Derrick Köhn · Hannover |
| 47' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 50' | ⚽ | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 54' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 57' | ⚽ | Marcel Halstenberg · Hannover |
| 84' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| coach days | 429.00 | 429.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1482.33 | 1457.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.18 | 5.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.92 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.30 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 7.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.19 | 26.30 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |