← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Sep 3, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 65% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.00 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 15% | 6.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Hamburger SV −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 64% | 1.49 |
| Under | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 32' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 40' | 🟨 | Kevin Schumacher · Hansa Rostock |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 48' | ⚽ | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 57' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ignace Van der Brempt · Hamburger SV |
| 82' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
| 84' | 🟨 | Christian Kinsombi · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 794.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1647.93 | 1456.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.86 | 33.76 |
| eye test v1 | 1.28 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 2.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | -0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 27.37 |
| state index | 1.05 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |