← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 41% | 2.40 |
| SV Wehen win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| FC Schalke 04 +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.61 |
| Under | 40% | 2.43 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Nico Rieble · SV Wehen |
| 40' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · SV Wehen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 52' | 🟨 | Max Reinthaler · SV Wehen |
| 54' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 86' | 🟨 | Danny Latza · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Max Reinthaler · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 670.00 | 1.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1430.39 | 1570.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.21 | -44.14 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 27.28 | 26.88 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |