← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 39% | 2.43 |
| Magdeburg win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Magdeburg +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Hertha |
| 7' | ⚽ | Silas Gnaka · Magdeburg |
| 8' | 🟨 | Toni Leistner · Hertha |
| 14' | 🟨 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 20' | 🟨 | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 22' | ⚽ | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 35' | 🟨 | Márton Dárdai · Hertha |
| 37' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 42' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 45' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 49' | ⚽ | Jason Ceka · Magdeburg |
| 55' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 58' | ⚽ | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 68' | ⚽ | Mo El Hankouri · Magdeburg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ahmet Arslan · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 12 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| coach days | 943.00 |
| venue | MDCC-Arena |
| 154.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.82 |
| elo | 1454.18 | 1489.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 48.09 | 0.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 47.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| league points | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.26 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |