← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Aug 27, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Petersen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.76 |
| SV Wehen win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ali Loune · Nurnberg |
| 10' | 🟥 | Ahmet Gurleyen · Nurnberg |
| 16' | 🟨 | Taylan Duman · Nurnberg |
| 16' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · SV Wehen |
| 19' | 🟨 | Gino Fechner · SV Wehen |
| 36' | 🟨 | Florian-Horst Carstens · SV Wehen |
| 40' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · SV Wehen |
| 40' | 🟥 | Hyun-ju Lee · SV Wehen |
| 55' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jan Gyamerah · Nurnberg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Martin Angha · SV Wehen |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Tim Handwerker · Nurnberg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Martin Angha · SV Wehen |
| 85' | 🟥 | Martin Angha · SV Wehen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | SV Wehen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 87.00 | 664.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.02 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1440.04 | 1438.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.10 | 58.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.28 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.79 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.86 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |