← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: P. Schwengers
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 44% | 2.20 |
| VfL Osnabruck win | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| VfL Osnabruck −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Juan José Perea · Hansa Rostock |
| 45' | ⚽ | Dave Gnaase · VfL Osnabruck |
| 54' | 🟨 | Juan José Perea · Hansa Rostock |
| 57' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 67' | ⚽ | Kai Pröger · Hansa Rostock |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jasper van der Werff · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | VfL Osnabruck |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 178.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1450.33 | 1356.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.83 | -2.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 26.03 |
| state index | 0.32 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |