← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Greuther Furth win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Hertha −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Maximilian Dietz · Greuther Furth |
| 23' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
| 31' | ⚽ | Marten Winkler · Hertha |
| 38' | 🟨 | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 46' | ⚽ | Pálko Dárdai · Hertha |
| 66' | ⚽ | Smail Prevljak · Hertha |
| 77' | ⚽ | Haris Tabaković · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 147.00 | 421.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1544.35 | 1496.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.09 | 31.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.20 | 43.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.64 |
| league points | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 6.69 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 8.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 24.59 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |