← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Fri, Aug 25, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Aytekin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.43 |
| Under | 33% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel |
| 17' | 🟨 | Thomas Ouwejan · FC Schalke 04 |
| 39' | 🟥 | Ron Schallenberg · FC Schalke 04 |
| 43' | 🟨 | Philipp Sander · Holstein Kiel |
| 59' | ⚽ | Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Arena AufSchalke |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 328.00 | 693.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1592.11 | 1485.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.33 | 12.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| league points | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 25.63 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |