← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Exner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock win | 39% | 2.52 |
| Hannover win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Hannover +0 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 38' | 🟨 | Damian Roßbach · Hansa Rostock |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Phil Neumann · Hansa Rostock |
| 87' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander Rossipal · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Svante Ingelsson · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yannik Lührs · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ostseestadion |
| coach days | 171.00 | 414.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1462.32 | 1452.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.07 | -17.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.98 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.58 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 26.74 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.21 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |