← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sun, Aug 6, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Hannover win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 17' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 27' | 🟨 | Christoph Daferner · Nurnberg |
| 41' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Nurnberg |
| 55' | 🟨 | Daichi Hayashi · Nurnberg |
| 66' | ⚽ | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
| 72' | 🟨 | Joseph Hungbo · Nurnberg |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jannik Dehm · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jens Castrop · Nurnberg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ahmet Gurleyen · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Can Uzun · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 66.00 | 401.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.84 | 1.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1431.31 | 1451.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.75 | -6.27 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.02 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.19 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |