← 2. Bundesliga 2023 · Sat, Jul 29, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 43% | 2.28 |
| SV Wehen win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen +0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Magdeburg +0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.65 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Magdeburg |
| 29' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Magdeburg |
| 49' | 🟨 | Barış Atik · Magdeburg |
| 50' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 56' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 56' | 🟥 | Aleksandar Vukotić · SV Wehen |
| 62' | ⚽ | Ivan Prtajin · SV Wehen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SV Wehen | Magdeburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | BRITA-Arena |
| coach days | 635.00 | 908.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1413.08 | 1455.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.22 | 31.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | — |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 26.14 |
| state index | -0.15 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.71 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |