← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, May 26, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 52% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Tenerife win | 20% | 4.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 68' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 73' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 76' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 81' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 84' | 🟨 | Anderson Arroyo · Burgos |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) | Jeremy Mellot · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 29 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 360.00 | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1494.80 | 1467.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.84 | 4.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | 0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 63.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 8.19 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 30.71 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |