← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, May 19, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: José Guzmán
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 44% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Ferrol win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Ferrol −0.25 | 47% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Alex López · Ferrol |
| 4' | ⚽ | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 22' | 🟨 | Víctor Mollejo Carpintero · Zaragoza |
| 39' | 🟨 | Brais Martínez · Ferrol |
| 43' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Ferrol |
| 48' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Ferrol |
| 57' | ⚽ | Álvaro Giménez · Ferrol |
| 67' | 🟨 | Óscar Pinchi · Ferrol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergi Enrich · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 79.00 | 1203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1487.62 | 1467.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.24 | -46.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.66 |
| league points | 54.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | 0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |