← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, May 12, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Zaragoza win | 24% | 4.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Oviedo −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 11' | 🟨 | Paulino De la Fuente · Oviedo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 73' | 🟥 | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 86' | ⚽ | Alemão · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 254.00 | 72.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1563.54 | 1494.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.03 | -7.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 63.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 6.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.75 | -0.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.84 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |