← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, May 5, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Eldense win | 31% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Eldense +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over | 32% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Juanto Ortuño · Eldense |
| 28' | 🟥 | Carlos Hernández · Eldense |
| 47' | ⚽ | Diego García · Leganes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jesús Clemente · Eldense |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ian Mackay Abad · Eldense |
| 86' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enric Franquesa · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Darko Brašanac · Leganes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Enric Franquesa · Leganes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 674.00 | 309.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1449.86 | 1585.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.43 | -11.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.44 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 46.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 30.46 | 28.39 |
| state index | -1.02 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |