← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Eibar win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Eibar +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Bernabé Barragán · Albacete |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alberto Quiles · Albacete |
| 41' | 🟨 | Juan Antonio Ros · Albacete |
| 42' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 43' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 53' | 🟨 | Agus Medina · Albacete |
| 60' | ⚽ | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 58.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.56 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1463.91 | 1597.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.99 | 5.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 42.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.20 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.10 | 27.59 |
| state index | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |