← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Huesca win | 15% | 6.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Valladolid −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.47 |
| Over | 35% | 2.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Víctor Meseguer · Valladolid |
| 29' | 🟨 | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 58' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lucas Rosa · Valladolid |
| 79' | 🟨 | Víctor Meseguer · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | César Tárrega · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jovanny Bolívar · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 6 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.58 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 393.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1612.11 | 1509.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.83 | -6.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.74 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 65.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 8.19 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 7.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.19 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 27.93 |
| state index | 1.08 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |