← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 28, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Tenerife win | 17% | 6.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Tenerife −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Aitor Buñuel · Tenerife |
| 23' | 🟨 | Enric Gallego · Tenerife |
| 35' | ⚽ | Jeremy Mellot · Tenerife |
| 82' | 🟨 | Viti Rozada · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abel Bretones · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| coach days | 240.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| elo | 1562.11 | 1464.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.53 | -2.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -1.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 42.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| league points | 60.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 8.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 29.21 |
| state index | 0.21 | -0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |