← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Andrés Fuentes
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.72 |
| Amorebieta win | 18% | 6.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Amorebieta −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Grego Sierra · Burgos |
| 8' | ⚽ | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 12' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Burgos |
| 35' | 🟨 | Daniel Lasure · Amorebieta |
| 44' | 🟨 | Erik Morán · Amorebieta |
| 47' | ⚽ | Curro · Burgos |
| 59' | 🟨 | Miguel Muñoz Mora · Burgos |
| 77' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Amorebieta |
| 79' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Amorebieta |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Ojeda · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rayco Rodriguez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Amorebieta |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 331.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1504.25 | 1458.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.58 | 34.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 59.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 28.13 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |