← Segunda División 2023 · Mon, Apr 22, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Oliver De La Fuente
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 37% | 2.77 |
| Cartagena win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cartagena +0.25 | 58% | 1.67 |
| Oviedo +0.25 | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Santiago Homenchenko · Oviedo |
| 22' | 🟨 | Pedro Alcala · Cartagena |
| 29' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Damian Musto · Cartagena |
| 44' | 🟨 | Santiago Homenchenko · Oviedo |
| 44' | 🟥 | Santiago Homenchenko · Oviedo |
| 56' | ⚽ | Andy Rodríguez · Cartagena |
| 59' | ⚽ | Jairo Izquierdo · Cartagena |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jaime Seoane · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 234.00 | 234.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1475.77 | 1578.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.48 | 8.33 |
| eye test v1 | -1.45 | 0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| league points | 48.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 9.18 | 8.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.97 | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |