← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 21, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Burgos win | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Burgos +0 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Javier Martón Ansó · Mirandes |
| 15' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 55' | ⚽ | Anderson Arroyo · Burgos |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | Antonino La Gumina · Mirandes |
| 66' | ⚽ | Carlos Martín · Mirandes |
| 70' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Burgos |
| 78' | 🟨 | Eduardo Espiau · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 295.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1441.07 | 1514.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.39 | -30.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.88 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.73 |
| league points | 44.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.19 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.31 | 27.19 |
| state index | -0.96 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.75 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |