← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: Rubén Ávalos
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38% | 2.55 |
| Huesca win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Zaragoza win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 76% | 1.26 |
| Over | 24% | 4.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 19' | ⚽ | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 36' | ⚽ | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
| 67' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 72' | 🟨 | Édgar Badía · Zaragoza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Samuel Obeng · Huesca |
| 77' | 🟨 | Akim Zedadka · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟨 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟥 | Santiago Mouriño · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jovanny Bolívar · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟥 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 202.00 | 50.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1521.49 | 1495.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.71 | -2.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 27.34 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |