← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Amorebieta win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amorebieta +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.74 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟥 | Félix Martí · Amorebieta |
| 41' | 🟨 | Anuar · Valladolid |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Lasure · Amorebieta |
| 49' | ⚽ | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 51' | 🟨 | Unai Bustinza · Amorebieta |
| 52' | ⚽ | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 80' | 🟨 | Xabier Etxeita · Amorebieta |
| 84' | ⚽ | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amorebieta | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 2 |
| coach days | 141.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1472.42 | 1597.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.40 | 15.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 49.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| league points | 41.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 6.71 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.20 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.27 | 25.00 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |