← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Tenerife win | 25% | 4.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over | 38% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Carlos Isaac · Albacete |
| 6' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 26' | 🟨 | Higinio Marín · Albacete |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 35' | 🟥 | Sergio González · Tenerife |
| 62' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Alberto Quiles · Albacete |
| 77' | 🟨 | Teto · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 44.00 | 288.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.33 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1442.85 | 1471.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.75 | -5.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 36.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 28.43 | 29.29 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |