← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Apr 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 36% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 35% | 2.80 |
| Leganes win | 29% | 3.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Huesca −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over | 28% | 3.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Aritz Arambarri · Leganes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francisco Portillo · Leganes |
| 52' | 🟨 | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Iker Undabarrena · Leganes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Leganes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Huesca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Juan Cruz · Leganes |
| 83' | 🟨 | Diego García · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Loureiro · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 189.00 | 281.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.64 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1530.42 | 1593.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.17 | 27.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.40 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.83 |
| league points | 44.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 28.44 |
| state index | 0.41 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |