← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: José López
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Andorra (club) win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Eldense −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Sergio Ortuño · Eldense |
| 8' | 🟨 | Diego Pampín · Andorra (club) |
| 35' | ⚽ | Julen Lobete · Andorra (club) |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alex Bernal · Eldense |
| 45' | 🟨 | Julen Lobete · Andorra (club) |
| 48' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 71' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Eldense |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Jon Karrikaburu · Andorra (club) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eldense | Andorra (club) |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat |
| coach days | 645.00 | 36.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1484.82 | 1441.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.14 | -15.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 64.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| league points | 45.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 61.80 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 1.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.17 | 25.42 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 1.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |