← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Apr 5, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Orellana
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Oviedo win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Elche CF −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 17' | 🟨 | Masca · Oviedo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Sergio Bermejo · Elche CF |
| 66' | 🟨 | Abel Bretones · Oviedo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Santiago Colombatto · Oviedo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Leo Román · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Rodrigo Mendoza · Elche CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Paulino De la Fuente · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 21 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 401.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1571.48 | 1566.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.54 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.93 | 0.72 |
| league points | 59.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 59.40 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.51 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |