← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Ferrol win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Elche CF +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.68 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Pedro Bigas · Elche CF |
| 22' | 🟨 | Nicolás Castro · Elche CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Jon García · Ferrol |
| 62' | 🟨 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 63' | 🟨 | Josan · Elche CF |
| 64' | ⚽ | Nico Serrano · Ferrol |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nico Serrano · Ferrol |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1154.00 | 396.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1510.47 | 1581.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.79 | 19.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.95 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.90 |
| league points | 55.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 5.78 | 6.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 10.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 19.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | 1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 28.68 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |