← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 31, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: Iván Caparrós
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.70 |
| Tenerife win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Tenerife −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 75% | 1.30 |
| Over | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Alejandro Francés · Zaragoza |
| 8' | 🟨 | Nacho Martinez · Tenerife |
| 37' | ⚽ | Ángel Rodríguez · Tenerife |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Zaragoza |
| 49' | ⚽ | Maikel Mesa · Zaragoza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aitor Buñuel · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Corredera · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 30.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1490.17 | 1471.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.86 | 2.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.72 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 6.86 | 7.76 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 30.12 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |