← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Mar 30, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Saúl Ais
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Cartagena win | 14% | 6.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cartagena −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Verdú · Cartagena |
| 25' | 🟨 | Darío Poveda · Cartagena |
| 37' | 🟨 | Enric Franquesa · Leganes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Allan Nyom · Leganes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Miguel de la Fuente · Leganes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tomás Alarcón · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Raúl Lizoain · Cartagena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 273.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.31 |
| elo | 1597.32 | 1501.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.18 | -6.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.78 |
| league points | 66.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -10.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 29.05 | 31.08 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |