← Segunda División 2023 · Fri, Mar 29, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Adrián Cordero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win | 29% | 3.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Curro · Burgos |
| 11' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 39' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 45' | 🟨 | José Antonio Caro · Burgos |
| 53' | 🟨 | Pere Milla · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
| 68' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 78' | 🟨 | José Gragera · RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 302.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1528.83 | 1584.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.89 | 9.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.62 |
| league points | 55.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 5.18 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.38 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 26.79 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |