← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.34 |
| Eldense win | 23% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eldense −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Dario Đumić · Eldense |
| 26' | ⚽ | Peque Fernández · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 44' | 🟨 | David Timor · Eldense |
| 55' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Eldense |
| 62' | 🟨 | Christian Montes · Eldense |
| 69' | 🟨 | Pedro Capó · Eldense |
| 71' | ⚽ | Roko Baturina · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 86' | 🟨 | Germán Sánchez · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 90' | ⚽ | Juanto Ortuño · Eldense |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Eldense |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 |
| venue | Campos de Sport de El Sardinero |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 479.00 | 632.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1534.16 | 1503.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.41 | 16.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.65 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| league points | 53.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 9.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.56 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 29.10 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.55 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |