← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 24, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Zaragoza win | 29% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Mirandes −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 72% | 1.35 |
| Over | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Sinan Bakış · Zaragoza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Adrian Liso · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Mirandes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Juan María Alcedo · Mirandes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alberto Reina · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Anduva |
| coach days | 267.00 | 23.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1478.46 | 1488.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.08 | -36.10 |
| eye test v1 | -1.32 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 7.19 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 23.82 | 26.68 |
| state index | -0.79 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |