← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 24, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Raúl González
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.92 |
| Burgos win | 26% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Burgos −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.43 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 55' | ⚽ | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Huesca |
| 86' | ⚽ | Iker Kortajarena · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 175.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1515.14 | 1544.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.33 | 44.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.76 |
| league points | 40.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.91 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | -0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |