← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 24, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 40% | 2.54 |
| Eibar win | 30% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Valladolid −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Sergio Escudero · Valladolid |
| 2' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 11' | 🟥 | Juan Berrocal · Eibar |
| 28' | 🟨 | Luis Pérez · Valladolid |
| 57' | ⚽ | Víctor Meseguer · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Mamadou Sylla · Valladolid |
| 64' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Eibar |
| 69' | ⚽ | Israel Salazar · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 358.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1566.28 | 1592.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.54 | 5.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| league points | 52.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 27.79 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |