← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.44 |
| Albacete win | 18% | 5.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Elche CF −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 16' | 🟨 | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tete Morente · Elche CF |
| 49' | ⚽ | Nicolás Fernández · Elche CF |
| 61' | 🟨 | Lander Olaetxea · Albacete |
| 77' | 🟨 | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 78' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mourad El Ghezouani · Elche CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Rodriguez · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero |
| coach days | 382.00 | 16.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1585.44 | 1451.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.88 | -8.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 56.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.40 | -7.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.71 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 27.43 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |