← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Milla
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.91 |
| Ferrol win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrol +0.25 | 56% | 1.73 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.79 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Nico Serrano · Ferrol |
| 23' | 🟨 | César Tárrega · Valladolid |
| 34' | 🟨 | Marcos André · Valladolid |
| 62' | ⚽ | Iker Losada · Ferrol |
| 73' | 🟨 | David Castro · Ferrol |
| 83' | 🟨 | César Tárrega · Valladolid |
| 83' | 🟥 | César Tárrega · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ferrol | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de A Malata |
| coach days | 1140.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.57 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1494.36 | 1582.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.59 | 13.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| league points | 51.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.80 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 28.22 |
| state index | -0.77 | 0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |