← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Levante UD win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Levante UD −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
| 50' | 🟨 | Anderson Arroyo · Burgos |
| 57' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
| 64' | 🟨 | Kevin Appin · Burgos |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fabrício Santos · Levante UD |
| 72' | ⚽ | Roger Brugué · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Atienza · Burgos |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nikola Maraš · Levante UD |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álex Muñoz · Levante UD |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Burgos | Levante UD |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de El Plantío |
| coach days | 289.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1545.55 | 1579.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.41 | -0.06 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| league points | 54.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 5.81 | 2.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.45 | 26.37 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |