← Segunda División 2023 · Sun, Mar 10, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Sesma
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Burgos win | 19% | 5.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Eibar −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Anderson Arroyo · Burgos |
| 48' | 🟨 | Álex Sancris · Burgos |
| 51' | 🟨 | Matos · Burgos |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ager Aketxe · Eibar |
| 82' | ⚽ (og) | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Burgos |
| 89' | 🟨 | Matheus Pereira · Eibar |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fernando Niño · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa |
| coach days | 253.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1592.55 | 1532.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.44 | 30.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 50.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.89 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |