← Segunda División 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Quintero
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.15 |
| Zaragoza win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.42 |
| Over | 32% | 2.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Jair Amador · Zaragoza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Iván Sánchez · Valladolid |
| 44' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Valladolid |
| 62' | 🟨 | Quentin Lecoeuche · Zaragoza |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marc Aguado · Zaragoza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Zaragoza |
| 89' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 343.00 | 8.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1572.66 | 1507.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.24 | -37.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.76 |
| league points | 49.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 57.00 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 25.55 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |